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Autor Tema: Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México  (Leído 4107 veces)

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Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« en: Junio 16, 2015, 04:25:24 am »
Hora local de Caracas 10pm

SE forma la segunda tormenta de la temporada del Atlántico. Aviso de TT para las costas de Texas, EEUU:







SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.1N 94.2W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
Caracas, Venezuela

@meteovenezuela
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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #1 en: Junio 16, 2015, 13:54:28 pm »
BILL va a tener una vida efímera, aunque la puede liar parda en Texas, a donde está punto de llegar desde el GOM...


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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #2 en: Junio 16, 2015, 15:35:48 pm »
El centro de Bill junto a la costa....


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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #3 en: Junio 16, 2015, 22:51:07 pm »
Animacion del radar de Corpus Christi, sobre la #TSBiil de las 17 y las 20 UTC




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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #4 en: Junio 17, 2015, 13:12:20 pm »
Creo que el impacto de BILL no está siendo tan duro como se esperaba en Texas... Me alegro mucho por los habitantes de las zonas más afectadas.

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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #5 en: Junio 17, 2015, 16:58:51 pm »
BILL sigue como depresión tropical en el interior del estado de Texas... prácticamente 24 horas después de su impacto en este estado desde el GOM. Su estructura radar sigue siendo llamativa.



Citar
000
WTNT42 KNHC 170834
TCDAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022015
400 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

While radar data show that Bill is maintaining a good
convective banding structure, surface observations indicate that
the cyclone has weakened to a tropical depression over central
Texas.  The initial intensity is 30 kt, with these winds occurring
in rainbands near and east of the center.  The large-scale models
suggest that only slow weakening will occur during the next 24-36
hours, and Bill is likely to remain a tropical cyclone until the
center moves into eastern Oklahoma on Thursday.  After that, the
cyclone is expected to degenerate to a remnant low, with the low
being absorbed by a frontal system over the eastern United States
in about 96 hours.

The initial motion is 360/11.  Bill is expected to moved northward
for the next 12-24 hours on the west side of the subtropical ridge.
Subsequently, the cyclone should turn northeastward as it enters
the westerlies.  The track model guidance is in good agreement with
this scenario, and the new forecast track lies close to the model
consensus.

The main hazard from Bill is expected to be heavy rainfall and
flooding across portions of eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma
over the next day or two.  Please see products from your local
National Weather Service office for more information on the flood
threat.

This is the last advisory on Bill issued by the National Hurricane
Center.  Future information on this system can be found in Public
Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10
AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and on
the web at http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/0900Z 31.0N  97.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  17/1800Z 32.6N  97.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  18/0600Z 34.3N  96.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  18/1800Z 35.5N  95.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  19/0600Z 36.5N  93.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 72H  20/0600Z 38.5N  89.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 96H  21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #6 en: Junio 19, 2015, 22:01:29 pm »
BILL, todavía como depresión tropical, bien adentro de los USA...


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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #7 en: Junio 20, 2015, 11:32:38 am »
Este ciclón parece el conejito Duracell... :o :o :o :o



Citar
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST. AFTER SPENDING MORE
THAN THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS
RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION
AROUND THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW PATTERN TO THE NORTH.  RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BROAD AXIS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL AHEAD
OF THE CIRCULATION. MEANWHILE...TO THE NORTH OF BILL...A
DEFORMATION ZONE HAS SET UP ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA. THIS SHIELD
OF HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN GENERALLY PIVOTING OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS
BECOME STEADY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AFTER A BRIEF DECREASE THIS
PAST AFTERNOON. RECENT PEAK WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN IN THE 25 TO 30
MPH RANGE...GENERALLY WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR OF THE
CIRCULATION. BILL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES DOWN
THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS IT GRADUALLY BECOMES
EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST.

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Re:Tormenta Tropical Bill 02L-91L. Golfo de México
« Respuesta #8 en: Junio 20, 2015, 19:44:08 pm »
Estoy flipando con BILL... y conmigo, más de un meteorólogo... Solo hay que ver esta imagen del visible


 



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